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Bank of Brazil: The Committee has been paying close attention to how recent financial developments affect monetary policy and financial assets.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The policy continued to catalyze the large consumption sector or welcome a new round of valuation to repair the market. On December 11, the A-share market shrank. The concept sector of big consumption has been concerned by the market, and the food, beverage and retail sectors are among the top gainers. Analysts believe that near the Spring Festival, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and the big consumer sector is expected to usher in a new round of valuation repair. An Yaze, chief analyst of the food and beverage industry of CITIC Jiantou Securities, said that the recent introduction of a series of incremental fiscal and monetary policies has released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand. The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in a turning point in the boom. (china securities journal)

Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.The personal pension system will be expanded soon, and the third pillar of old-age security will be built in an all-round way. Recently, it was reported that the personal pension system will be implemented nationwide on the basis of pilot projects in 36 places. "It should be implemented nationwide soon. In fact, we have been making systematic preparations, and we are now well prepared." The staff of a state-owned bank in a non-pilot city told reporters. Industry researchers also told reporters that when the individual pension system was piloted, relevant supporting policies were made at the end of that year. "If it is fully rolled out according to the previous rhythm, there should be a saying before the end of this year." (Securities Times)The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, and the Japanese yen once rose to 151. The Canadian dollar almost retreated the increase since the Bank of Canada cut interest rates. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.663 points, which was as low as 106.268 points at 10:56 Beijing time, and then as high as 106.806 points at 18:11. USD/JPY rose 0.34% to 152.47 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.02-152.82 yen. At 17:11, the daily low was refreshed and instantly reversed. When the US CPI data was released, the daily high was refreshed.

Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)Market News: The U.S. Court of Appeal rejected the diversified disclosure rules of Nasdaq's board of directors.The new format is superimposed with new links, and Zhejiang private enterprises are busy going out to sea, and Zhejiang private enterprises have become the main force of "going out to sea". Data show that from January to October this year, there were 106,000 private enterprises with import and export performance in Zhejiang Province, an increase of 8.3%; The total import and export value is 3.53 trillion yuan, accounting for 80.8% of the total import and export value of the province. Recently, the reporter learned from interviews in Ningbo, Yiwu and other places in Zhejiang that despite the severe macroeconomic situation, the advantages of industrial clusters, technology and manufacturing in China are still obvious. Many private enterprises seize the new opportunities of overseas trade, lay a solid foundation in the direction of R&D, design and brand management, and sketch a new growth curve; At the same time, under the impetus of the government, cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses and other new formats go hand in hand and smooth the new link of "going out to sea". (SSE)